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Why Does the Vision Zero Movement Stop At the Edge of the Road?

U.S. car crash deaths are nearly 10 percent higher if you count collisions that happen just outside the right of way. So why don't off-road deaths get more air time among advocates?

8:09 AM EDT on April 18, 2024

The number of people who died in car crashes outside traditional roadways soared 26 percent in a single year, and included more than a thousand people outside motor vehicles. Because of where they died, though, some fear these fatalities won't count in the minds of policymakers tasked with achieving Vision Zero — or even the safety advocates who seek to hold them accountable.

According to the latest report from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, a shocking 3,990 people died in car crashes that occurred outside of the traditional transportation space in 2021, the last year for which data is available. One-quarter of those people were outside vehicles, including, pedestrians, cyclists, wheelchair users, and even children simply wishing their parents goodbye before they were accidentally run over by the caregivers who loved them most; all lost their lives after they were struck by drivers on private property, like parking lots, driveways, drive-thrus, and private roads.

Put another way: U.S. car crash deaths, which numbered 42,939 in 2021, were at least 9.3 percent higher that year than most Vision Zero advocates or safety officials claimed — if they had only considered the people who died on private property, often mere feet from where the formal right-of-way ends.

Non-Traffic Crash Deaths, 2017-2021

Non-Traffic Crash Deaths, 2017-2021

Even worse, some advocates say that because NHTSA's estimates are extrapolated from just a handful of states that routinely report their non-traffic crashes to the agency, those numbers are almost certainly a significant undercount. And because regulators and Vision Zero advocates tend not to count off-road fatalities when they describe the deadly toll of "traffic" violence, solutions specific to non-roadway contexts are being overlooked, even as some evidence suggests those same crashes disproportionately impact small children.

"We’ve been trying to get everybody — not just NHTSA — to look at non-traffic deaths the same way we look at traffic deaths," said Amber Rollins, director of the advocacy group Kids and Car Safety. "We see all these reports that pedestrian deaths are up, but no one’s talking about non-traffic deaths. It shouldn’t matter where you’re run over and killed; your death should count." 

60 children are run over by slow, forward-moving vehicle in parking lots and driveways every week

Rollins says that the 26-percent fatality increase is "extremely disheartening," and that there are clear structural reasons why non-traffic crashes are so often overlooked — even if none of those reasons are acceptable.

Before Congress mandated that they create the Non-Traffic Surveillance System in 2007, federal regulators didn't regularly track any off-road fatalities — and they still don't always enthusiastically claim responsibility for understanding their root causes, never mind ending them.

When asked if NHTSA had any hypotheses as to why off-road car crashes had jumped so significantly between 2020 and 2021, a spokesperson for the agency told Streetsblog that its "mission is preventing and mitigating unintentional crashes on our nation’s roads and highways,"  (emphasis ours), and that "the collection and analysis of crash data can reveal trends among certain types of crashes that can help inform the development of countermeasures. ... However, [this analysis] does not necessarily reveal crash causation underlying why certain types of crashes are trending higher in frequency."

At the state and local level, jurisdictions still don't have strong reporting requirements to standardize off-road crash data, analyze it for trends that might suggest solutions, or make that information regularly available to the public. For all its flaws, the Fatality and Analysis and Reporting System for U.S. roads is at least somewhat easily searchable, and NHTSA at least delivers preliminary estimates of roadway death totals just a few months after the calendar year ends; Non-Traffic Surveillance data, by contrast, is buried in difficult-to-open file formats on obscure government websites, and only infrequently analyzed, despite a mandate from congress that the agency issue biennial reports.

Proportion of Fatalities Who Weren't Inside Vehicles

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